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deskgameThe Bears have lost 10 in a row and appear to be playing out the string. They have given up quite a bit of production to running backs lately, too. They are fourth worst in the league in allowing 172 receiving yards to running backs over the last four games.

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deskgameAlabama is favored to win by 14 or 14.5 points, so you’re getting a massive discount on this parlay when it comes to the point spread. The total with -110 odds both ways is 43.5 points, so you’re also getting an extra five points on the Under.

deskgameThe conditions are a consideration for this prop play. The advance forecast at nflweather.com points to a 90 percent chance of rain with 16 mph wind gusts. The game-time temperature forecast is 51 degrees, and as noted by the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa has a 1-8 record in games 50 degrees or lower, which is obviously not far off from the projected temperature.

deskgameBetMGM Sportsbook offers a handful of alternate totals and allows the user to combine those overs or unders with each team’s moneyline. This is the best value we could find.

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