deskgameIt may seem contradictory, but I also recommend WR A.J. Browns’ receiving yards over. Brown had a season-high 15 targets with Pickett at QB last week, resulting in eight catches for 97 yards. The Cowboys’ secondary is dealing with multiple injuries, and Brown should get even more love from Pickett in Week 17.
deskgameThe conditions are a consideration for this prop play. The advance forecast at nflweather.com points to a 90 percent chance of rain with 16 mph wind gusts. The game-time temperature forecast is 51 degrees, and as noted by the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa has a 1-8 record in games 50 degrees or lower, which is obviously not far off from the projected temperature.
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deskgameIndianapolis returns to Anthony Richardson as its starting quarterback even after naming Joe Flacco as the starter for this game against the Jets on Monday. The uncertainty may play in New York’s favor, as the Jets are 4-point favorites in NFL Week 11 odds at the top online sportsbooks.