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deskgameGetting the lead will be important in the Sugar Bowl, but it’s not likely that either team will take too much risk by opening up the passing game more than usual. That means the clock will run for most of the first half, limiting possessions and scoring opportunities.
deskgameThe key is that the house edge is realized over the long haul. A player might win or lose more in the short term, but the house edge will be realized in the end.
deskgameThe tricky thing about this prop is determining whether Jacobs will be part of the passing game. In the last seven games, he has had four receptions four times and zero receptions three times. In games when he had four receptions he averaged 53 receiving yards per game. One of those games was against the Bears, and Jacobs had five receptions for 58 yards (to go with 18 carries for 76 yards).
