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deskgameOne bet to consider is Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith to record 125+ receiving yards (+290 odds). Smith has been unguardable in the CFP and averaged 145 yards in the Buckeyes' last two games. Texas has a stout pass defense but surrendered 296 yards against Arizona State in the quarterfinal.

deskgameThe odds of +425 indicate a probability of 19%. That means we need this prop to hit once out of five times to make money. If you bet $100 at +425 odds five times and win once, you’ll profit $425 one time and lose $100 four times. That’s a profit of $25.

deskgameOn Sunday, Miami also must win to get in with help, but the Jets (+1) can play spoiler a against their longtime hated rivals. Denver (-10.5) can win and clinch a wild card berth with a win over the Chiefs, who are expected to rest key starters.

deskgameIf a game has a 96 percent RTP then for every $100 wagered, players should win an average of $96. There is no guarantee that the player will win that percentage. Rather, it is the percentage expected to be paid out to all players in the long term.

deskgameQB Riley Leonard is a great runner but far less reliable as a passer. If Leonard is forced to air it out to mount a comeback, it could spell trouble for Notre Dame. Getting a lead on the Fighting Irish’s stout defense is easier said than done, but the Nittany Lions have elite talent on offense.

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