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deskgameAs previously indicated, Buffalo checked a first box to being regarded as an authentic top-shelf contender by knocking the Chiefs down for the first time this season. The Ravens have their obvious defensive concerns, and while Pittsburgh (+900) may field the best defense in the AFC, it doesn’t quite have enough on offense to match the Bills and Chiefs overall on both sides of the ball.

deskgameThat’s why the Ravens are favored by as many as 18 points. Baltimore should dominate the game so much that Henry will probably not be needed much in the second half — if at all. Plus, the Browns’ rushing defense has been solid most of the season, even in the last month when their season has been over.

deskgameEven at 31 years old, Henry is still a home-run hitter. The former Heisman winner’s 19 rushes of 20+ yards are the most in the NFL. He also had a 20+ yard run in Baltimore’s last three games and did the same in two meetings with Pittsburgh.

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deskgameMuch of the Longhorns' success in the first round of the CFP was thanks to success at the line of scrimmage. Texas ran 292 yards and four touchdowns, led by RBs Jaydon Blue and Quintrevion Wisner. A repeat performance would all but guarantee a win for Texas, but it may not be as easy against an ASU defense that allows 118 rushing yards per game.

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