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deskgameIowa State is unlikely to shut down Ward, but the Cyclones have been exceptional against the pass. All-Big 12 CBs Jontez Williams and Malik Verdon lead an Iowa State defense that surrendered 179 passing yards per game; the fewest in the conference.
deskgameThe conditions are a consideration for this prop play. The advance forecast at nflweather.com points to a 90 percent chance of rain with 16 mph wind gusts. The game-time temperature forecast is 51 degrees, and as noted by the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa has a 1-8 record in games 50 degrees or lower, which is obviously not far off from the projected temperature.
deskgameThe first-bet safety net promo is a bit different. The only way to activate this bonus is to lose your bet. This is a challenging game to call, but if I were to make the bet, I would take the Bengals moneyline (+100).