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deskgameWarren has 197 rushing yards and four touchdowns on the ground but only one carry for six yards in the CFP. Penn State may be saving Warren’s carries for a stronger opponent like Notre Dame.
deskgameGetting the lead will be important in the Sugar Bowl, but it’s not likely that either team will take too much risk by opening up the passing game more than usual. That means the clock will run for most of the first half, limiting possessions and scoring opportunities.
deskgameThe conditions are a consideration for this prop play. The advance forecast at nflweather.com points to a 90 percent chance of rain with 16 mph wind gusts. The game-time temperature forecast is 51 degrees, and as noted by the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa has a 1-8 record in games 50 degrees or lower, which is obviously not far off from the projected temperature.
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